Conflict and human rights: Risk hidden deep in the supply chain

Supply Chain Risk Outlook

Key Takeaways

  • The number of countries rated high or very high risk on our Conflict Intensity Index has risen by 40% since 2021, increasing the risk of disruption across global supply chains
  • Conflict-affected and high-risk areas are creating deeper human-rights exposure, particularly in countries and sectors where visibility beyond Tier 1 remains limited
  • Companies need to integrate conflict, governance and human-rights risk data into sourcing decisions to anticipate disruption, regulatory, and reputational risks

Conflict leads the global agenda in 2026, but businesses are still underestimating the risks these conflicts create deep within supply chains. The number of countries classified as high or very high risk within our Conflict Intensity Index has risen 40% in just five years, from 30 in 2021- Q2 to 42 in 2026-Q2.

This insight will be released publicly on 9th July. If you would like to read it now, please request a copy of the full Supply Chain Risk Outlook report.

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Russell Brown

Head of Sustainable Procurement

Jess Middleton

Senior Europe Analyst

Miranda Murphy

Principal Consultant, Sustainable Procurement
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29 July 2026, 4pm BST / 11am ET

Supply Chain Risk Outlook: Navigating the Great Supply Chain Squeeze

30 July 2026, 4pm AEST / 8am CEST

Supply Chain Risk Outlook: Navigating the Great Supply Chain Squeeze